Altria Group, Inc. (MO) earnings on July 30, 2026

Before the market opens Q2 2026

More Altria Group, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

Altria shares dropped 9% after missing profit estimates and raising inflation concerns, despite beating sales and raising future outlook.

MO price around the earnings

67.94

Change: -9.3%

2026-07-30, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
67.69 70.52 73.34 76.17 74.92
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.
July 30, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published
Results released

Positive trend strength and strong beat rate persist, despite mixed analyst sentiment and slight downside targets.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Moderate run-up with positive trend strength, but recent cooling from peak.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Hold
Consensus average (1-5)
2.64
Analysts covering the stock
11
Average price target
70.64
Lowest price target
59
Highest price target
82
Upside to price target
-5.7%
Quarterly earnings growth
102.7%
Revenue growth
5.3%
Forward EPS
5.88
Trailing EPS
4.79
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
1
  • Strong buy: 0
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong sell: 1
Strong buy
0
Buy
4
Hold
8
Sell
1
Strong sell
1
  • July 7, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)

News and sentiment

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Neutral
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (1)

Technicals

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
74.95
Average true range (ATR)
2.5%
Distance to 52-week high
+0.0%
14-day change (14d)
+6.3%
30-day change (30d)
+1.2%
30-day relative strength
+2.8%
SPY change (30d)
-1.5%
Nearest support
74.31
Distance to nearest support
0.9%
Nearest resistance
75.29
Distance to nearest resistance
0.5%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.9
  • Mid: 74.31 (0.9% away, 0.34 ATR, 13 touches)
  • Mid: 73.84 (1.5% away, 0.6 ATR, 21 touches)
  • Mid: 73.51 (1.9% away, 0.78 ATR, 20 touches)
  • Mid: 75.29 (0.5% away, 0.19 ATR, 5 touches)
  • Minor: 75.69 (1% away, 0.4 ATR, 4 touches)
  • Mid: 75.99 (1.4% away, 0.56 ATR, 5 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+2.2%
  • April 30, 2026: actual EPS 1.32 vs estimate 1.25 (surprise +5.9%)
  • January 29, 2026: actual EPS 1.3 vs estimate 1.32 (surprise -1.3%)
  • October 30, 2025: actual EPS 1.45 vs estimate 1.45 (surprise +0.1%)
  • July 30, 2025: actual EPS 1.44 vs estimate 1.38 (surprise +4.0%)

Expected move

Implied move
+4.8%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
2.6%
75th percentile move
5.8%
90th percentile move
7.8%
Up / down moves
11 / 9
Average up move
+3.2%
Average down move
-3.9%

Monitoring and close

What Altria Group, Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS1.48
EPS estimate1.5
EPS surprise-1.3%
Revenue$6,111 million
Revenue estimate$5,346 million
Revenue surprise+14.3%

Altria releases Q2 2026 results. Optimistic outlook from earnings presentation, though inflation pressures remain.

Sources (16)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Missed expectations

Heading into the open, results beat expectations on revenue but not on earnings and the price is indicating -3.5% pre-market, a move in line with the stock's usual reaction (about 3%). The figures overturn the prior optimistic scenario. Across our market history, in the 1,267 similar cases the close held that direction 86% of the time.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
-9.3%
Max favorable move (MFE)
1.3%
Max adverse move (MAE)
9.7%