Aflac Incorporated (AFL) earnings on April 29, 2026

After the market closes Q1 2026

More Aflac Incorporated earnings

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate

Aflac stock declined 2.18% after its quarterly report, having dropped as much as 5.61% during the market review day before recovering.

AFL price around the earnings

113.67

Change: -2.2%

2026-04-30, 19:59 UTC

Start of the measured window
109.84 111.97 114.10 116.22 116.20
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)
April 29, 2026 April 30, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate

Analysts cautious — risk outweighs reward.

While the stock has recently moved higher, analysts are cautious due to expectations of modest growth and mixed company forecasts. Some analysts have also lowered their price targets.

Context analyzed before publication

Summary
Analysts cautious — risk outweighs reward.
Playbook
Analysts express caution, suggesting that the current risks may be greater than the potential rewards. The outlook may warrant caution until it becomes clearer.
Trend
Outlook deteriorating over past two sessions.

Analysts

Drivers

  • Analysts Negative

    Analysts generally hold a neutral stance, and the average price target suggests a slight decrease in value is possible. Some recent analyst actions include downgrades and reduced price targets.

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Hold
Consensus average (1-5)
3.07
Analysts covering the stock
14
Average price target
111.86
Lowest price target
97
Highest price target
130
Upside to price target
-3.5%
Quarterly earnings growth
-27.5%
Revenue growth
-9.9%
Forward EPS
7.71
Trailing EPS
6.82
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
5
  • Strong buy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 2
  • Strong sell: 1
Strong buy
2
Buy
1
Hold
8
Sell
2
Strong sell
1
  • April 13, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Underperform → Underperform)
  • April 10, 2026 · Keefe, Bruyette & Woods: Maintains rating (Market Perform → Market Perform)
  • April 10, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
  • April 9, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • February 25, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)

News and sentiment

Drivers

  • News & sentiment Negative

    Recent news reflects a negative shift in analyst sentiment, with more price targets being lowered than raised. While online sentiment is very positive, it is based on low market review volume and contradicts analyst views.

Evidence

Sentiment
Sentiment
Constructive
Mention volume
Low
Normalized volume
33%
News
Sources (7)
  • Mizuho Maintains Underperform on Aflac, Lowers Price Target to $102 — Benzinga
  • Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Market Perform on Aflac, Raises Price Target to $115 — Benzinga
  • Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Aflac, Lowers Price Target to $116 — Benzinga
  • UBS Maintains Neutral on Aflac, Lowers Price Target to $114 — Benzinga
  • Aflac Announced That Aflac Re Bermuda Ltd. Has Reached An Agreement With Japan Post Insurance Co., Ltd. To Reinsure A Block Of Whole Life Annuities Through Coinsurance — Benzinga
  • If You Invested $100 In Aflac Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today — Benzinga
  • Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Reinstates Market Perform on Aflac, Announces $113 Price Target — Benzinga

Technicals

Drivers

  • Technical Positive

    The stock has experienced positive price movement recently and is showing strength relative to the market. It is currently positioned favorably near a support level.

Evidence

Average true range (ATR)
1.4%
Distance to 52-week high
-2.8%
14-day change (14d)
+5.8%
30-day change
+5.1%
30-day relative strength
+1.4%
Benchmark change
+3.8%
Nearest support
105.93
Nearest resistance
116.7
Volume accumulation ratio
0.88

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+0.2%
  • February 4, 2026: actual EPS 2.64 vs estimate 1.66 (surprise +58.9%)
  • November 4, 2025: actual EPS 3.08 vs estimate 1.78 (surprise +73.4%)
  • August 5, 2025: actual EPS 1.11 vs estimate 1.69 (surprise -34.4%)
  • April 30, 2025: actual EPS 0.05 vs estimate 1.67 (surprise -97.0%)

Expected move

There is no implied-move data available for this event.

Reactions over its last 19 earnings

Median move
3.5%
75th percentile move
5.3%
90th percentile move
6.3%
Up / down moves
11 / 8
Average up move
+3.7%
Average down move
-4.2%

Monitoring and close

What Aflac Incorporated reported

There is no monitoring data available for this event.

Pre-market second reading after the results

There is no second reading available for this event.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Accurate
Consolidated
-2.2%
Max favorable move (MFE)
5.6%
Max adverse move (MAE)
0%