The AES Corporation (AES) earnings on July 30, 2026
More The AES Corporation earnings
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
AES shares fell after earnings, closing down about 1%. The drop aligns with the view that the stock was already fully valued given the approved takeover.
AES price around the earnings
14.68
Change: -1.1%
2026-07-31, 20:00 UTC
Start of the measured window
End of the measured window
14.65
14.72
14.78
14.85
14.85
July 30, 2026
July 31, 2026
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: Pessimistic Outcome: Accurate
- Thesis published
Setup is mixed heading into earnings, but the scenario points pessimistic.
Stock fully priced at $15/share due to approved takeover, rendering earnings event irrelevant to valuation.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Setup is mixed heading into earnings, but the scenario points pessimistic.
- Trend
- Stock is fully priced at $15/share due to an approved takeover, rendering earnings irrelevant.
Analysts
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Hold
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 3
- Analysts covering the stock
- 8
- Average price target
- 15
- Lowest price target
- 15
- Highest price target
- 15
- Upside to price target
- 1.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- 958.7%
- Revenue growth
- 8.7%
- Forward EPS
- 2.38
- Trailing EPS
- 1.92
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 0
- Strong buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong sell: 0
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 0
- Hold
- 10
- Sell
- 0
- Strong sell
- 0
News and sentiment
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
There is no news coverage available for this event.
Technicals
Evidence
- Price when the context was analyzed
- 14.82
- Average true range (ATR)
- 0.3%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -13.1%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +0.0%
- 30-day change (30d)
- +1.3%
- 30-day relative strength
- +2.8%
- SPY change (30d)
- -1.5%
- Nearest support
- 14.78
- Distance to nearest support
- 0.3%
- Nearest resistance
- 14.82
- Distance to nearest resistance
- 0%
- Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
- 0.74
- Mid: 14.78 (0.3% away, 1.06 ATR, 27 touches)
- Mid: 14.72 (0.7% away, 2.45 ATR, 19 touches)
- Major: 14.67 (1% away, 3.62 ATR, 34 touches)
- Mid: 14.82 (0% away, 0 ATR, 10 touches)
- Minor: 14.88 (0.4% away, 1.38 ATR, 8 touches)
- Mid: 14.93 (0.8% away, 2.7 ATR, 15 touches)
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +42.0%
- May 5, 2026: actual EPS 0.77 vs estimate 0.37 (surprise +108.3%)
- March 2, 2026: actual EPS 0.81 vs estimate 0.61 (surprise +33.0%)
- November 4, 2025: actual EPS 0.75 vs estimate 0.77 (surprise -2.1%)
- July 31, 2025: actual EPS 0.51 vs estimate 0.4 (surprise +29.0%)
Expected move
- Implied move
- +4.8%
- Source
- Options chain
Reactions over its last 20 earnings
- Median move
- 2.2%
- 75th percentile move
- 5.1%
- 90th percentile move
- 8.7%
- Up / down moves
- 10 / 10
- Average up move
- +4.2%
- Average down move
- -3.0%
Monitoring and close
What The AES Corporation reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Outcome
- Accurate
- Consolidated
- -1.1%
- Max favorable move (MFE)
- 1.4%
- Max adverse move (MAE)
- 0%