Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) earnings on April 28, 2026
More Robinhood Markets, Inc. earnings
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
Robinhood experienced a sharp drop after its earnings release, indicating a 'sell-the-news' event. The stock price fell significantly, reflecting investor disappointment.
HOOD price around the earnings
71.20
Change: -13.3%
2026-04-29, 20:00 UTC
- Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
- Start of the measured window
- End of the measured window
- Market open
- No trading (market closed)
- Starting price
Prior thesis
Prior outlook: No statistical edge
- Thesis published
Strong earnings history, but high rally risk into event.
This company consistently beats earnings expectations, which is its strongest point. However, a significant price rally just before the earnings report increases the risk of a 'sell the news' event, especially with mixed analyst opinions.
Context analyzed before publication
- Summary
- Strong earnings history, but high rally risk into event.
- Playbook
- The strong earnings track record points to potential upside. However, the recent sharp price increase raises the risk of a 'sell the news' reaction.
- Trend
- First evaluation, no trend yet.
Analysts
Drivers
-
Analysts
Neutral
Analyst conviction is mixed, with JP Morgan holding a Neutral rating while Keybanc and Cantor have Overweight ratings.
Evidence
- Analyst consensus
- Buy
- Consensus average (1-5)
- 1.93
- Analysts covering the stock
- 24
- Average price target
- 101.15
- Lowest price target
- 50
- Highest price target
- 155
- Upside to price target
- 22.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth
- -34%
- Revenue growth
- 26.5%
- Forward EPS
- 2.69
- Trailing EPS
- 2.05
- Analyst moves in the last 60 days
- 10
- Strong buy: 4
- Buy: 15
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 2
- Strong sell: 1
- Strong buy
- 4
- Buy
- 15
- Hold
- 5
- Sell
- 2
- Strong sell
- 1
- April 23, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
- April 21, 2026 · Keybanc: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 21, 2026 · Cantor Fitzgerald: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 20, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- April 14, 2026 · Bernstein: Reiterates rating (Outperform → Outperform)
- April 13, 2026 · Truist Securities: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
- April 10, 2026 · Citizens: Maintains rating (Market Outperform → Market Outperform)
- April 10, 2026 · Morgan Stanley: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
- April 8, 2026 · Barclays: Maintains rating (Overweight → Overweight)
- April 6, 2026 · Jefferies: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
News and sentiment
Drivers
-
News & sentiment
Negative
The stock price has been falling just before earnings, and uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin adds to potential risks.
Evidence
Sentiment
- Sentiment
- Constructive
- Mention volume
- Low
- Normalized volume
- 33%
News
Sources (5)
- Why Robinhood Shares Are Dropping Before Key Earnings Report — Benzinga
- Robinhood Earnings Prediction Market Preview: Will Vlad Tenev Mention Bitcoin? — Benzinga
- Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp Robinhood Expectations Ahead Of Q1 Earnings — Benzinga
- Robinhood Q1 Earnings Preview: Will The Vlad Tenev-Led Brokerage Firm Feel The Pinch Of Crypto Bear Market? — Benzinga
- Coinbase Hit With Second State Lawsuit In 48 Hours As Wisconsin Joins Prediction Market Crackdown — Benzinga
Technicals
Drivers
-
Technical
Negative
The stock has rallied 18% in the 14 days leading up to earnings, with implied volatility at 111%. This suggests an overbought condition and elevated risk of selling after the announcement.
Evidence
- Average true range (ATR)
- 5.1%
- Distance to 52-week high
- -46.3%
- 14-day change (14d)
- +18.0%
- 30-day change
- +7.0%
- 30-day relative strength
- +0.6%
- Benchmark change
- +6.4%
- Nearest support
- 63.53
- Nearest resistance
- 93.32
- Volume accumulation ratio
- 1.12
Trends
Evidence
- Average earnings surprise
- +17.5%
- February 10, 2026: actual EPS 0.73 vs estimate 0.68 (surprise +6.3%)
- November 5, 2025: actual EPS 0.68 vs estimate 0.61 (surprise +10.9%)
- July 30, 2025: actual EPS 0.5 vs estimate 0.36 (surprise +39.5%)
- April 30, 2025: actual EPS 0.37 vs estimate 0.33 (surprise +13.5%)
Expected move
Drivers
-
Past earnings
Positive
The company has a strong recent record of beating earnings, with an average surprise of 17.5%, making this its strongest fundamental pillar.
There is no implied-move data available for this event.
Reactions over its last 19 earnings
- Median move
- 8.9%
- 75th percentile move
- 11.3%
- 90th percentile move
- 14.2%
- Up / down moves
- 7 / 12
- Average up move
- +9.4%
- Average down move
- -8.2%
Monitoring and close
What Robinhood Markets, Inc. reported
There is no monitoring data available for this event.
Pre-market second reading after the results
There is no second reading available for this event.
How the stock reacted
- Consolidated
- -13.3%
- Max move
- -14.8%
No verdict: the outlook took no direction, so there is nothing to score as a hit or a miss.