American International Group, Inc. (AIG) earnings on August 6, 2026

After the market closes Q2 2026

More American International Group, Inc. earnings

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

AIG shares dropped after reporting results. While profit exceeded expectations, lower sales than expected disappointed investors.

AIG price around the earnings

78.78

Change: -1.5%

2026-08-07, 20:00 UTC

Start of the measured window End of the measured window
77.92 79.03 80.13 81.24 79.98
Price series around the eventClosing price per minute from before the event to the end of the measured window.No trading (market closed)No trading (market closed)
August 6, 2026 August 7, 2026
  • Price: green if it ends above the starting price; red if it ends below
  • Start of the measured window
  • End of the measured window
  • Market open
  • No trading (market closed)
  • Starting price
Price series around the event

Prior thesis

Prior outlook: Optimistic Outcome: Missed

Thesis published
Results released

Generally positive trajectory with optimistic expectations, but recent negative trend strength creates headwinds into the event.

Context analyzed before publication

Trend
Generally positive trajectory with optimistic expectations, but recent negative trend strength creates headwinds into the event.

Analysts

Evidence

Analyst consensus
Buy
Consensus average (1-5)
2.32
Analysts covering the stock
20
Average price target
88.55
Lowest price target
80
Highest price target
102
Upside to price target
11%
Quarterly earnings growth
9.3%
Revenue growth
1.4%
Forward EPS
8.84
Trailing EPS
5.68
Analyst moves in the last 60 days
8
  • Strong buy: 1
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 14
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong sell: 0
Strong buy
1
Buy
7
Hold
14
Sell
0
Strong sell
0
  • July 20, 2026 · JP Morgan: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 15, 2026 · Piper Sandler: Downgrades rating (Overweight → Neutral)
  • July 9, 2026 · Wells Fargo: Maintains rating (Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight)
  • July 9, 2026 · Cantor Fitzgerald: Upgrades rating (Neutral → Overweight)
  • July 9, 2026 · Mizuho: Maintains rating (Neutral → Neutral)
  • July 8, 2026 · UBS: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)
  • July 8, 2026 · Keefe, Bruyette & Woods: Maintains rating (Outperform → Outperform)
  • July 6, 2026 · HSBC: Maintains rating (Buy → Buy)

Technicals

Evidence

Price when the context was analyzed
80.13
Average true range (ATR)
1.9%
Distance to 52-week high
-6.7%
14-day change (14d)
+2.4%
30-day change (30d)
-0.8%
30-day relative strength
-3.2%
SPY change (30d)
+2.5%
Nearest support
80.05
Distance to nearest support
0.1%
Nearest resistance
80.56
Distance to nearest resistance
0.5%
Volume accumulation ratio (14d / 46d)
0.96
  • Major: 80.05 (0.1% away, 0.05 ATR, 34 touches)
  • Major: 79.64 (0.6% away, 0.32 ATR, 32 touches)
  • Major: 79.13 (1.3% away, 0.65 ATR, 42 touches)
  • Major: 80.56 (0.5% away, 0.28 ATR, 20 touches)
  • Major: 80.88 (0.9% away, 0.49 ATR, 31 touches)
  • Major: 81.35 (1.5% away, 0.79 ATR, 28 touches)

Trends

Evidence

Average earnings surprise
+15.2%
  • April 30, 2026: actual EPS 2.11 vs estimate 1.88 (surprise +12.0%)
  • February 10, 2026: actual EPS 1.96 vs estimate 1.9 (surprise +3.1%)
  • November 4, 2025: actual EPS 2.2 vs estimate 1.71 (surprise +28.5%)
  • August 6, 2025: actual EPS 1.98 vs estimate 1.69 (surprise +17.2%)

Expected move

Implied move
+4.3%
Source
Options chain

Reactions over its last 20 earnings

Median move
3.1%
75th percentile move
4.8%
90th percentile move
5.6%
Up / down moves
14 / 6
Average up move
+3.4%
Average down move
-3.2%

Monitoring and close

What American International Group, Inc. reported

Status
Finished
Actual EPS2
EPS estimate1.92
EPS surprise+4.2%

AIG beat earnings expectations in Q2, but revenue missed estimates. First-half results were strong, with solid underwriting and lower investment income.

Sources (4)

Pre-market second reading after the results

Verdict
Beat expectations

Heading into the open, results beat expectations and the price is indicating +1.6% pre-market, a move below the stock's usual reaction (about 3%). The figures confirm the optimistic scenario. Across our market history, in the 1,419 similar cases the close held that direction 72% of the time.

How the stock reacted

Outcome
Missed
Consolidated
-1.5%
Max favorable move (MFE)
0.8%
Max adverse move (MAE)
2.6%